Análise das perspectivas da revisão da rodada do milênio sobre o mercado internacional de commodities

Abstract

After the revision of the Uruguai’s Round Agreement in Seatle, USA,november, 1999, under the designation of Millenium Round, and itsfew results, it’s very interesting the analysis of the gains and lossesfrom the commodities trade among the individual countries andcommercial blocks. In this paper, we propose to analyse the possibletrade impacts in the commerce and in the domestic production in theperspective consensus from the WTO, so that can foreseen possibleestrategies of politics to be adopted by the participant members. Weare using the general equilibrium analytical model (GTAP) and itsrespective benchmark of initial balance for the year base of 1992. The results suggest won of welfare in the European Union and in theRest of World being difficult to infer about the real behavior of thisbenefits to the level of NAFTA and MERCOSUL. However, the resultsindicate individualized losses of welfare to the Canada and Chile.