Reconstrução da série histórica do PIB industrial baiano: uma abordagem econométrica

Abstract

This study reconstructs the time series of Bahia’s industrial activity and explores its historical trajectory through an econometric lens. By reconstituting the data, it was possible to map periods of growth and stagnation and the key factors shaping this evolution. The econometric analysis unveiled patterns and cycles in Bahia’s industry, linking its fluctuations to national and international economic trends and local policies. The study also highlights historical challenges, from colonial-era agro-export dependence to persistent structural barriers such as low diversification and inadequate infrastructure. Despite progress, Bahia’s industry still faces significant hurdles that constrain its growth potential. By retracing this path, the research provides a detailed account of the state’s industrial past and valuable insights for future studies and public policy strategies aimed at fostering Bahia’s economic development.