O alinhamento do Brasil aos Estados Unidos da América: Um estudo de caso pela óptica da guerra híbrida.

Abstract

The first part of the research investigates Brazil's alignment with the United States between 2016 and 2022, which came in the wake of the overthrow of the Dilma Rousseff government, with the Michel Temer government, and has continued throughout the Jair Bolsonaro government. By analyzing the main foreign policy decisions made during this period, especially through the diplomatic notes issued by the Brazilian Ministry of Foreign Affairs, it can be seen that alignment occurred automatically. To ratify the delimitation of this conjuncture, comparisons were made with other Brazilian governments that aligned themselves with the US and with the first year of the third Lula government, characterized by the interruption of the alignment under study. The second part of the research presents the concepts of hybrid warfare and full spectrum dominance, including some of the instruments linked to them, and positions Brazil within the US's global geopolitical strategy. It then seeks to trace indirect US interference in Brazil between 2013 and 2016, which contributed to the alignment verified and outlined in the first part of the research. These hybrid interventions were detected by tracing concrete US actions superimposed on thoughts and guidelines drawn empirically from documents published by the US itself: the Joint Vision 2020 and the National Security Strategy. Insofar as it establishes the correlation between its first and second parts, the research does not claim that hybrid interferences were the only causes of automatic alignment, but rather points out how they made a relevant contribution to this result.