Estuários a caminho da resiliência climática: um modelo de análise

Abstract

Human urbanisation has grown significantly, and with it, the consequences on nature. Estuarine regions have felt the impacts of climate change, influenced specifically by anthropogenous interventions. This study suggests an analysis model to identify the above-mentioned consequences and actions that may strengthen estuarine ecosystems’ resilience. Furthermore, a literature research was conducted to identify these consequences and to portrait prevention initiatives as coping mechanisms to fight climate change, using the five IPCC (2022) categories and also four from the CRF Matrix (Cities Resilience Framework). It was possible to identify eighty-six consequences and sixty-three actions suggested by literature, out of which fifty-eight are related, directly or indirectly, to some of the consequences in question. This relationship between consequences and actions was carried out by a group of experts especially made for this purpose. Therefore, the obtained result was an analysis model relevant to estuarines in Brazil’s cities and the potential to assist on decision making related to their well being and resilience.