Evolução do emprego e mudança estrutural no Brasil no primeiro decênio dos anos 2000: uma abordagem pasinettiana

Abstract

The paper analyzes the occupational dynamics in Brazil, for the 2000 to 2009 period, from a multisectoral standpoint. The empirical basis comes from an input-output scheme for 55 activities. Initially, it is made the separation between jobs created by demand behavior and jobs destroyed via technical progress. After, it is distinguished inside the demand created jobs, the influence of consumption, investment, current government spending and exports components. Yet, mix and level effects of each component are discriminated. Results suggests that consumption behavior was the main responsible for employment evolution in decade, with one fifth of its explanation attributed to structure change. The displacement of final demand to more laborintensive activities, chiefly concentrated at services, constitutes around 9% of employment creation in this period, being the remainder portion explained by level effects of final demand growth. These movements have been occurred in parallel to technical progress, which presented very differentiated effects along the years.