Um estudo sobre as potencialidades setoriais no semiárido baiano entre 2010 e 2020

Abstract

Approximately two-thirds of Bahia's municipalities are part of the semiarid region, which accounts for over 80% of the state. Municipalities in this region have lower levels of economic and social development compared to other cities in Bahia. Therefore, it is crucial to consider alternatives for the development of these municipalities. Therefore, the objective of this article is to identify sectors with potential for growth and job creation in the region. To this end, data from the RAIS (Annual Report of Social Information) and the IBGE (Brazilian Institute of Geography and Statistics) were used to characterize the economic potential of municipalities through a combination of three techniques: shift-share analysis, principal components analysis, and cluster analysis. It was possible to identify some semiarid regions with potential for development, particularly in the following activities: mining, low-skill labor-intensive industries, tourism services, and agriculture. Furthermore, urbanization and location indicators used in the study were useful in characterizing the potential and bottlenecks for the development of sectors classified as having a competitive advantage and specialized.